New Stock Picks

Healthcare: 
  • No debt stocks: 
Bayer crop science - liked
Alembic
Cupid - liked
Caplin point - liked - 8
Eris - liked - 8
  • Low P/E:
Mangalam drugs
Kopran
Cupid
Vivimed

Food Processing: 
Freshtrop fruits
Manpasand beverages
1. Profits in Mar and June Q only.

Zydus wellness
1. 40+ Net margin

Tasty bite eatables
Hindustan foods

Sector - Construction 

Highly debt-ridden sector(except few industries)

Industries
1. Cement and asbestos products: 
Everest industries:
Building products
i. Roofs ii) Boards and panels
Steel buildings
- Improved revenue
- Op profit increased (almost same op margin)
- net profit and net profit margin are increased
- Demonetisation affected them.
- Lost a few clients as they were not able to pass the benefits to them when steel prices dropped.

Rain industries:
- Reduced cost/expenditure leads to improved op profit.
- Op margins improved a lot. (2'14 to 2'17 - 10 to 21)
- No change in debt levels. (0.58 to 6.93)
- Net profit margins improved.
*Net profit decreased from 2'11 to 2'14 then increased to same levels again by 2'17.

Indian Hume pipes (can buy)
- Almost doubled revenue in 2'17 leading to op profit doubles.
- Revenues dipped in Sep'17 and Dec'17 which leads to the reduction of op profit and profit after tax
- 40% Correction due to the above. 

2. Ceramic tails
1. Orient bells
- Steady growth. Net profit has been increasing since 2'14
- Because of 20 cr exceptional items P/E is just 12. Without that the P/E is 30. Which is still good.
- May be
2. Somany ceramics
- Low margin business (op margins - 6-8, net profit margins 2-4)
- Weak Q1'17 and Q3'17 (find out why?)
- Steady growth in revenue and net profit.
- most of the fund houses increased their share
 Buy
3. Cera sanitaryware
- Steady
- From a p/e of 10 to 40.

4. Asian Granito
- Steady but not as good as above companies

5. Kajaria
- Op profit margins in 20's
- Highest net profit margins 8+
- Market leader
- It's a Stalwart but not a fast mover.

6. HSIL
- The growth is not good.
- Op margins in mid teens, net profit margins in 4-5%
- High depreciation

7. Murudeshwar Ceramics
- Op margin 20+
- Net profit margin 2+
- If debt can be reduced it's a multibagger

8. Lexus Granito
- Recent small IPO
- Revenue doubled in 2 years.
- PAT tripled in 2 in the same period.
- Debt levels are increasing, almost tripled in 2 years.
- Can buy (Go through the website once)

3. Construction 
KNR constructions
- Very low debt levels.
- Doubled revenue in 2 years.
- Steady ROE and ROCE

Dilip Buildcon Ltd
- Recent IPO
- Revenue has been increasing
- Very good ROE and ROCE
- Op margins in 20' and PAT margins in 7-8

It's highly capital intensive and it's not easy to run business for a small and new company.

4. Glass and Glassware
Borosil Glass works
- Inconsistent EPS growth
- P/E increased from 7 to 50.

Asahi india glass
- -ve PAT till 2014, first positive result in 2015.
- Tripled since then in last 3 years
- 25% increment in revenue in 3 years.
- Constant Op margins in 3 years.
- But PAT margin tripled in this period.
- Slowly reducing their debt.
Can buy

La Opala RG Ltd
- Very low return in last 3 years.
- Huge returns till 2015.
- Op margins is last 4 years 42 33 35 29. Which are huge.
- Net profit margins too are very good in mid twenties.
- Very good ROE and ROCE.
- Zero debt

5. Granite  Pokarna is the only prominent company figured out.

6. Real Estate 
Later

7. Refractories 
Vesuvius
- Steady grown in revenue and PAT
- ROE in 15's and ROCE in 20'
- Op margin 20 and PAT margins 10 for the past 2 years.
- Zero debt
- Market leader(Not sure)

Morganite Crucible
- Almost same revenue for the past 4-5 years.
- PAT decreased from 12 to 15 and doubled in the last 3 years.
- Somewhat a good company.

Orient Refractories: can buy
- Revenue and PAT growth is steady.
- Better than Morganite
- ROCE 40+, ROE 30, Op margins 20's, PAT margins 12'.


8. Fertilizers 
Meghamani Organics
- Very consistent PAT since 2013
- Debt to Equity around 0.5
- PEG 0.26
- P/E 14

Bharat rasayan
- Follow this

Excel industries
- Sudden revenue jump
- Op and net margins are improved 


Sector - Consumer durable 

Not debt ridden sector
Low to very low margin sector
High P/E sector
A bit cyclical in nature
Defensive sector as these are daily used not so expensive products.

Revenue improvement is very imp
Cost reduction is another way to increase PAT

Industries: 
1. AC's and Refrigerators  Symphony
- High margin company
- Op margins 40's, PAT margins 25's
-  2'13 to 14 and 16 to 17 there is very good improvement in revenue which leaded to improvement in PAT.
- ROCE in 60's, ROE in 40's
- Zero debt

Whirlpool
- Low margin company
- Op margins in 12' and PAT margins in 6's
- ROE in mid twenties, ROCE in mid thirties
- No debt.
- Revenue increase is the only way for growth.

Bluestar
- Very low margin company
- Op margins in 6' and PAT margins in 3's
- ROCE and ROE in 20's

Voltas
- Low margins company
- 12's and 8's
- ROE and ROCE .. almost in twenties

Hitachi air conditioning
- Breakout year in 2015, PAT is 10 folded.
- Almost same PAT till now.
- Revenue improving steadily

- These are a bit defensive stocks and will give good results in all the times.

2. Clocks and Watches 
IST
- Revenue and PAT improved in the last 3 years.
- Very high op margins.

KDDL
- 30% improvement in revenue in 3 years.
- PAT almost doubled in this period.

3. Cons electronics  
Crompton Greaves Cons Electronics ltd (buy)
- Op 11-13, PAT margins - 6-8
- Recent IPO
- Tripled PAT from 16 to 17. Doubled revenue in the same period.
- Visit website

4. Domestic electric appliances  
V Guard
- Low margin company, 10 11 10 8 - 6 7 6 4
- Very good ROE and ROCE numbers, around 25 and 35 respectively

Butterfly Gandhimathi appliances
- PAT is only positive in the last Q's

Bajaj Electronics
- Very low margin business
- Almost same PAT since 3 years.

Sector - Engineering 

Industries
1. Ball bearings
SKF India Ltd
- P/E 31
- Very slow revenue and PAT growth.
- Zero debt.
- Op margins between 14-18, net margins between 7-10
- ROE in mid twenties, ROCE in early twenties.

Menon bearings
- Steady increase in revenue. 86 to 144 in 4 years.
- PAT more than tripled in 4 years. 6.18 to 21

SNL bearings
- P/E 20
- Steady revenue and PAT growth. 23 to 38 and 3.39 to 7.82
- Zero debt
- Good margins. Op margins in 30's and Net margins at 20.
- Very good ROE and ROCE. 40's and 50's. 

Benara Bearing and pistons
- P/E
- Revenue doubled in 3 years.
- Op profit doubled in 3 years.
- PAT history .. 4.55 0.76 0.46 0.03 0.23 (recent first)

Galaxy Bearings Ltd
- P/E 4.2
- Uneven revenue for the past 5-6 years. 36-50 Cr
- PAT history .. 3.43 2.94 1.6 2.87 2.84 2.09 2.47 (Recent first)

2. Chemical machinery
GMM Pfaudler
- P/E 38

- PAT trends 31 28 18 17 14 10 9
- Zero debt
- Op margins around 15.
- Net margins between 7-10

Kanchi Karpooram
- P/E 10
- Revenue unchanged till 2'17 then almost doubled in 2018.
- PAT was less than 1 Cr till 2016 then became 3 in 2017, then 10 in 2018.

Sector - Chemicals 

Industries:
1. Carbon black
Phillips Carbon Black
- P/E 24
- PAT almost 10 folded in 2 years.
- Revenue dipped from 2015 to 2016 and equalled again in 2018.
- Op margins improved from 2 to 16, PAT margins from 0.5 to 6.
- It's all because of cost reduction and gaining back the revenue.

Oriental Carbon and chemicals
- P/E 23
- 20% - 30% increment in revenue in last 3-4 years.
 - PAT too improved by 20-25 in these years.
- Interest is 10% of Op profit.
- Op margins in 30's, PAT margins 15's
- ROCE and ROE in 20's

2. Caustic Soda
Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals
- P/E is just 13.
- PAT doubled in 2 years
- Revenue is improved by 25% in this 2 years.
- Op margins improved from 16 to 27 in 3 years. PAT margins from 11 to 16.
- ROCE and ROE in 10's
- Improved PAT is mostly due to cost reduction.
- Almost zero interest.

Aditya Birla Chemicals
- Interest is almost 40-50% of Op profit. 
- P/E 10

Sree Rayalaseema Alkalies and Allied Chemicals
- PAT more than doubled in last year.
- ROCE in 11's, ROE in 8's
- Op margins 13-17, PAT margins in 3-5

3. Chemical extraction

Vikas EcoTech
- PAT 6 folded from 15 to 16 and doubled from 17 to TTM
- Avg margins, 18 and 10.
- P/E was very high in the past and now settled at 20's
- PAT would have been 39 if there was no ex items in 2017.
- Okayish company


Fineotex Chemical
- Better margins than above, 30's and 20's
- Profit increased by 1 Cr in the last year, so, sudden surge in share price.

Tyche industries
- Revenue dipped but cost reduction made the Op profit improvement. 
- Op margins improved from 8 to 20 in 2 years. So as PAT margins from 4 to 10.
- PAT more than doubled in 2 years.
- If they can get back to their previous revenue the profit would increase a lot.
- Buy (Go through website)


4. Dyes and Pigments
Atul Ltd
- P/E 30
- just okay growth in revenue and PAT.
- Margins have been reducing since 2 years.
- Almost zero debt


Sudarshan Chemicals
- P/E 48
- Steady Revenue growth.
- PAT doubled from 15 to 17.
- Almost same margins as above.
- Slight low PAT margins due to interest.

Kiri Industries
- P/E 12
- Steady revenue growth till 2017.
- PAT was negative till 2015 and turned positive in 2016 and ten folded in 2017.
- Debt to equity fell from 6.7 to 2.5 to 0.6

Ultramarine and Pigments
- P/E 23
- Steady revenue growth, doubled in 5 years.
- PAT tripled in 3 years.
- Zero debt.
- Op margins improved from 18 to 24. Net margins from 9 to 15.
(Can Buy)

Shree Pushkar Chemicals and Fertilizers
- Steady revenue growth, almost doubled in 6 years.
- PAT tripled in 3 years.
- Slightly inconsistent margins

Aksharchem
- P/E 15
- PAT almost tripled from 2016 to 2017. Again lost 40% in the next year.
- In the same way margins, ROCE are surged and plunged.

Indian toners
- P/E 15
- Revenue and PAT almost tripled in TTM.
- Go through the website

5. Explosives
Solar industries
- P/E 75
- Slow and steady growth in Revenue and PAT. In between there is some stagnation. 
- Op margins between 15-20
- Net margins 9-12

Keltech Energies
- P/E 16
- Low margin company
- Op margins 6-9
- Net margins 2-4

6. Industrial gases
- P/E 45
- Revenue fell from 9000 Cr to 5000 Cr and increased to 6000 Cr
- Op margins 12-15
- Net margins 3-4
- Slightly debt ridden and it's been coming down.
- ROE 10-15

7. Inorganic chemicals

UPL Ltd (Standalone)
- Consistent revenue growth
- A bit inconsistent op profit over the years
- Inconsistent PAT
- Trends of margins are similar to Op profit and PAT trends.
- ROE and ROCE are declining
- Very low debt
UPL Ltd (Consolidate)
- Revenue growth is good.
- Op profit growth is also good.
- PAT has been increasing except one year.
- Op margins are in 20's
- Net margins are between 7-12
- ROCE and ROE are way better than standalone figures. They are in 20' and 30'.
- 20-30% of op profit is interest here.

Deepak Fertilisers and petrochemicals corporation
- Revenue, Op profit and PAT all are inconsistent.
- Low debt.
- Very low op margins and net margins. 7-11 and 2-3
- ROE and ROCE and very low between 5-8 for the past 4 years.

National peroxide
- Steady growth from 12 to 14 and dipped in 15 and again steadily growing till now.
- Almost 4 folded op profit in 3 years.
- Ten folded PAT in 3 years.
- Margins improved drastically so as ROE and ROCE.
- Cost reduction is the main cause for their performance.

Pondy oxides & chemicals
- P/E 8.2 
- Very good consistent revenue growth.
- Same way Op profit and PAT are increasing tremendously.
- Low margins. Op margins from 5 to 7. Net margins from 1.8 to 4.
- ROE improved from 20 to 50. ROCE from 15 to 35.
(Buy - Go through website)

8. Misc chemicals

BASF India Ltd
- P/E 37
- No profit from 2015 to 2017 with minimal revenue growth.
- Op profit improved suddenly in 2018 due to reduction in expenditure.
- Slightly debt ridden and it's been reduced last year.


Sector - Energy 


Industries
1. Coal and Lignite
Himadri Speciality Chemicals
- P/E 28
- Sudden improvement in Revenue from 1300 Cr to 1800 Cr
- Op profit from 150 to 400 in last 2 years.
- Interest dropped from 100 to 60 Cr
- PAT has been negative till 2'16 and increased to 80 and 200 in last 2 years.
- Go through website

(Buy)

2. Crude Oil and Natural gas
( Mostly not debt ridden, Oil producers' Op profits highly dependent on Crude oil prices)

Deep Industries
- P/E is just 6
- Tripled revenue in 3 years.
- PAT 4 folded in 3 years.
- Very low debt. (6% of op profit as interest)
- Very high margins.
- Op profit 50+ in all the years.
- Net margins from 20-26 in all the years.
(Buy - get to know why low p/e)

Gujarat state Petronet
- P/E 16
- Very minimal increase in revenue over the past 5-6 years.
- PAT improved by 50% in 2 years and was constant before that.
- Almost neglisable debt.
- Astonishingly very high margins.
- Op margins are in 90's, net margins are in 40's

Chennai petroleum Corp
- P/E 5
- Revenue decreased from 49 k Cr to 25 k CR and again improved to 40 k Cr
- PAT from -1776 Cr to - 38 Cr to 905 Cr.
- Low debt. Interest is 15% of op profit.
- Very low margins. Op profits in 5's and net profits in 2's

SJVN
- Op margin 100+

3. Lubricants, etc

Castrol India Ltd
- P/E 26
- No debt.
- Revenue and PAT are very much constant throughout the past 5-6 years.
- Op margins in 30's and net margins in 18's
- P/E was 30+ in 2012 and touched 50 in 2014. It's been hovering inbetween 26-28.

Goa carbon
- P/E 12.56
- Revenue doubled in 2 years. 316 to 587.
- PAT -3 to 9 to 58 in last 2 years.
- Op margins improved from 4 to 16.
(know why sudden turnaround)

Panama Petro Chemicals
- P/E 20.55
- Inconsistent revenue growth. 580 630 590 730 660 725 1024 (Old to new)
- Op profit more than doubled in 2 years.
- Op margins decreased from 8 to 4 then again improved to 10 now.
- Interest is 10% of op profit.
- PAT almost 4 folded in 3 years.
(Buy - Go through website)














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